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Showing posts with the label Ensemble Forecast

What is Weather Forecasting ?

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Over the last 20 years, 3 day forecasts are better than, one day forecast delivered 20 years ago. “Numerical forecasting”, mathematical equations to predict weather forecasting require powerful computers and lots of observable data collected from land, sea, and air. Thousands of (more than 01 million) weather stations are located across the globe for data pooling. Instruments like ground-based wind gauges (anemometers), rain collectors, and temperature sensors are used by amateur weather watchers. Complex mathematical models to predict, new based on incoming data, weather conditions might change over time. Large-scale phenomena, each are governed by multiple factors considering external and internal factors of the solar system, observing sun temperature and other radiations, earth temperature, pressure difference, will form clouds and winds, change in phase of ice-water-gas which will affect the flow of energy. The National Centres for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), objective is